The Quarterly / Q1 2025
Q1 2025 Market Report
Published March 2025
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The Manhattan commercial real estate market entered the first quarter of 2025 by establishing a predictable baseline for recovery. Following a period of capital markets stagnation, the market began finding its floor. Office leasing volume surged to structural highs, premium retail corridors experienced significant supply absorption, and hospitality assets maintained robust national pricing power.
While the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50%, the predictability of the cost of capital allowed transaction volume by count to climb. This set the stage for institutional re-pricing across the borough.
The first quarter of 2025 demonstrated that tenant demand for highly amenitized, modern spaces is deep enough to drive macro availability downward.
Manhattan office leasing reached 11.4 million square feet in Q1, marking the strongest first-quarter performance since 2019. Demand was anchored by a return of large-format activity, highlighted by 16 leases of 100,000 square feet or more that totaled roughly 4.0 million square feet. This sustained velocity pulled Manhattan’s overall availability rate down by 70 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 15.7%—the fourth consecutive quarterly decline. Concurrently, the average asking rent rose to $74.53 per square foot, registering its first net increase in seven quarters.
Submarket performance varied significantly by geography and asset class:
Midtown: Led the borough’s recovery as availability compressed to 14.9%, the lowest level recorded in more than four years. Leasing was heavily concentrated in Penn Plaza/Garment Market (1.8 million square feet), Grand Central (1.79 million square feet), and the Plaza District (1.43 million square feet).
Midtown South: Availability sat at 17.1%. While still elevated against its 9.1% pre-COVID baseline, technology and media demand drove an inversion of historical leasing behavior: Class A spaces captured 44.6% of sector volume, outperforming Class B assets (36.7%) as tenants prioritized renovated space.
Downtown: Logged approximately 2 million square feet of leasing volume. Activity was anchored by a major expansion from Jane Street Capital, which increased its Brookfield Place footprint at 250 Vesey Street to nearly 1 million square feet.
Manhattan retail leasing volume climbed 14% year-over-year on a rolling four-quarter basis, reaching 3.5 million square feet. New-to-market retailers served as a vital demand source, accounting for approximately 29% of quarterly activity.
While the borough’s aggregate average asking rent slid to $659 per square foot due to the mechanical lease-up of premium, higher-priced spaces, prime corridors firmed dramatically. Landlords in SoHo’s Broadway, Madison Avenue, and Upper Fifth Avenue captured consistent premium brand absorption, pushing direct ground-floor availabilities down to 188 spaces across the borough. Food and beverage operators remained the most active tenant category by total deal count.
| Market Metric / Corridor | Q1 2025 Performance | Quarter-Over-Quarter Direction | Underlying Market Context |
| Manhattan Investment Sales | $2.7 Billion | ▼ -17% Q/Q | Transaction count climbed 12% to 84 trades |
| Manhattan Office Asking Rent | $74.53 / SF | ▲ First rise in 7 quarters | Driven by a 69.6% market share for Class A stock |
| Manhattan Retail Asking Rent | $659 / SF | ▼ Modest compression | Reflects the lease-up of top-tier premium spaces |
| Manhattan Hotel RevPAR | $229.00 | ▲ +7.3% Y/Y | Powered by an ADR-led pricing recovery |
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Get in touch
Download the PDF version with charts, comp tables, and source data.
Get in touch
Download the PDF version with charts, comp tables, and source data.